◈ ORBITAL ILLUMINATION · INDEPENDENT MISSION DOSSIER · LIVE
EARENDIL-1
The First Commercial Space Mirror
EARENDIL-1 LIVE MISSION STATUS
PRE-LAUNCH · NO MIRROR IN ORBIT
FILED
FCC LICENCE
Aug 2025 · decision pending
·
MID 2026
LAUNCH WINDOW
Falcon 9 secured
·
45%
LAUNCH CONFIDENCE
1,800+ FCC objections
·
—
LAST UPDATE
Live from /earendil-1
EARENDIL-1 is the first commercial space mirror satellite, developed by
Reflect Orbital and targeting a mid-2026 launch to Low Earth Orbit.
FCC licence filed August 2025, decision pending. No specific launch date
has been announced. This status will update when Reflect Orbital
confirms a date or the FCC rules on the application.
Why no countdown? Reflect Orbital has publicly targeted
mid-2026 but hasn’t announced a specific launch date, and FCC
approval is still pending. We’d rather show you real status than a
countdown to an invented date. The countdown activates the moment a real
launch date is confirmed.
Read the full launch-date analysis →
BRIGHTNESS NOTES: Mirrors produce two distinct brightness measurements. The first is how bright the satellite itself appears as a point of light in the sky to any observer within viewing range (stated as astronomical magnitude). The second is how bright the 5km ground footprint becomes for observers inside the beam (stated relative to the full moon). Znamya-2's satellite appeared faint (mag ~3–5) as it streaked past, while the ground footprint within the beam reached approximately full-moon brightness.
UPDATED APR 2026 · SOURCE: PUBLIC FCC FILINGS, PUBLISHED RESEARCH, PRESS RECORDS
OBSERVER GUIDE
What Does a Mirror Pass Actually Look Like?
EARENDIL-1 · GROUND OBSERVER EXPERIENCEBASED ON FCC FILING + REFLECT ORBITAL STATEMENTS
You'd first notice it as a fast-moving star appearing low on the horizon — similar to watching the ISS pass, but brighter. It climbs quickly across the sky over roughly 3–4 minutes, reaching peak brightness near its highest point above you.
At zenith, EARENDIL-1 is expected to appear comparable to Venus at its brightest — obvious to the naked eye, visible in twilight, and bright enough to be unmistakable. It moves visibly across the sky rather than hovering like a planet.
If you're standing within the 5km illuminated footprint on the ground, the experience is different: a soft, directional glow — described by Reflect Orbital as "moon-like" — brightens the scene around you for the duration of the pass. Independent researchers describe the in-beam brightness as comparable to a full moon at 0.1 lux.
PASS PARAMETERS · EARENDIL-1
~3.5
MINUTES PER PASS
5km
BEAM FOOTPRINT
7.6km/s
GROUND TRACK SPEED
0.1 lux
IN-BEAM BRIGHTNESS
OUTSIDE THE BEAM: visible as a bright star (Venus-equivalent) moving across the sky
INSIDE THE BEAM: soft full-moon-equivalent glow, ~0.1 lux, for the pass duration
AFTER THE PASS: mirror tilts away from Earth — satellite dims or disappears
Pass predictions for your exact location → OrbitalNodes.ai · Solar mirror mode launching with EARENDIL-1 · More detail → /how-bright
CONCEPT EXPLAINER
The Physics, the Promise, and the Controversy
1993FIRST MIRROR LAUNCHED
3PROGRAMMES TRACKED
0CURRENTLY IN ORBIT
4K→50KREFLECT ORBITAL (2030 → LONG-TERM)
WHY THE PHYSICS ARE HARD
An 18×18m mirror is only the size of a volleyball court. From 625km altitude, achieving meaningful illumination over a 5km target requires milliradian-precision beam steering while the satellite travels at 7.6km/s. Any single pass lasts under 4 minutes.
Delivering one continuous hour of supplemental light requires approximately 15 coordinated satellites. Znamya 2 proved the concept in 1993. Znamya 2.5 showed how quickly a mirror deployment can fail. The Chengdu proposal demonstrated the public appetite — and the backlash — this technology generates regardless of which operator pursues it.
Qualitative positions as of April 2026, sourced from public filings, press statements, and funding rounds. We don’t invent percentages.
ASTRONOMER COMMUNITYOPPOSED
American Astronomical Society filed a formal petition to deny the FCC application (6 March 2026). 1,800+ FCC docket comments filed. DarkSky International classified EARENDIL-1 as Risk Group 3 (High Risk).
INVESTOR BACKINGCOMMITTED
$35.2M raised across Seed (Sequoia Capital, Sep 2024) and Series A (Lux Capital, May 2025). Plus US Air Force SBIR Phase II contract of $1.25M (Jun 2025). Demo mission fully funded per FCC filing.
PUBLIC DEMAND SIGNALSTRONG
260,000+ service enquiries across 157 countries by end of 2025, per Reflect Orbital. No independent survey of general public opinion exists.
DEMO-SCALE TECH VIABILITYPLAUSIBLE
March 2024 balloon demo at 3km successfully redirected sunlight to ground solar panels during twilight. Scaling to 625km orbit with milliradian beam steering remains unproven in flight.
FULL 50K CONSTELLATIONSPECULATIVE
No operator has deployed a constellation at this scale. Astronomers calculate 3,000+ mirrors needed to replicate 20% of midday sunlight at a single site. Economics and manufacturing cadence both unvalidated.
REGULATORY STATUSPENDING
FCC application SAT-LOA-20250701-00129 filed 1 August 2025. Public comment period closed 9 March 2026. No decision issued. No deadline for FCC to rule.
NEXT LAUNCH WINDOW
When Will the Next Mirror Launch?
EARENDIL-1
REFLECT ORBITAL · SUN-SYNCHRONOUS ORBIT · 625KM
The first commercial orbital mirror and the first mirror since Znamya 2.5 in 1999. An 18×18m mylar mirror targeting solar farm energy augmentation. FCC filing cited early April 2026; Wikipedia (updated Apr 2026) states mid-2026. SpaceX Falcon 9 confirmed as launch provider. FCC approval remains the primary gate.
NO OTHER OPERATORS have announced firm launch timelines as of April 2026. The Chengdu proposal remains shelved with no known revival. This page updates when new filings are made by any operator.
PASS TRACKING
Track Mirror Passes in Real Time
Live Orbital Mirror Tracking via OrbitalNodes.AI
Once any orbital mirror launches, OrbitalNodes will be the first place to see predicted pass times, illumination windows, and beam targets — all operators, live in your browser.
Pass predictions with illumination angle — all operators
PASS CARDS
Shareable cards showing your local pass window and beam target
ALERTS
Get notified 30 minutes before a mirror pass over your location
VALUE ESTIMATOR
How Much Orbital Sunlight Is Actually Worth
SOLAR FARM PARAMETERSINTERACTIVE
◈ DAILY ECONOMICS — ORBITAL MIRROR SCENARIO
USABLE SUNLIGHT PER PASS3.5 min
TOTAL MIRROR-MINUTES / DAY28 min
EFFECTIVE GENERATION ADDED18,667 kWh
ENERGY REVENUE / DAY$2,800
SERVICE COST / DAY$1,400
NET DAILY P&L+$1,400
Illustrative at operator-pitched rates. Drag sliders to stress-test the economics — try a 50MW farm or $10,000/hr service price to see when the model breaks.
RSC Energia's Progress M-15 spacecraft deployed a 20m mylar mirror from the Mir space station. It created a brief 5km-wide spot of light sweeping across Europe — the first proof that orbital illumination was physically possible. At magnitude ~5, it was barely visible to the naked eye: a faint, fast-moving point of light, not a dramatic flash. The mirror itself was the achievement; the brightness was modest.
RSC ENERGIAMIR STATIONSUCCESS
1999 · RUSSIA
Znamya 2.5 — Deployment Failure
A larger 25m mirror launched with ambitions to illuminate Russian cities through polar winter. The mirror snagged on an antenna during deployment, failed to fully unfurl, and the mission was abandoned. The Znamya programme was cancelled. No further Russian orbital mirror attempts followed.
DEPLOYMENT FAILUREPROGRAMME ENDED
2018 · CHINA
Chengdu "Artificial Moon" Proposal
Chengdu Aerospace Science announced plans for a constellation of mirrors to replace street lighting across Chengdu — claiming 8× Moon brightness and 1.2 billion yuan in annual savings. Generated global media coverage and immediate astronomer backlash. The project was quietly shelved; no satellites were built.
CHINASHELVEDURBAN LIGHTING
2021–2025 · USA
Reflect Orbital — Founded & Funded
Reflect Orbital founded October 2021 by Ben Nowack (ex-SpaceX) and Tristan Semmelhack (ex-Zipline). Raised $6.5M seed in September 2024 (led by Sequoia), then $20M Series A in May 2025 (led by Lux Capital with Sequoia participating), plus $1.25M US Air Force SBIR Phase II contract in June 2025 — total funding $35.2M as of 2026. Filed FCC application in August 2025. Two proof-of-concept missions planned for 2026. SpaceX Falcon 9 confirmed as launch provider.
FOUNDED 2021$35M TOTAL FUNDINGUSAF CONTRACT
MID-2026 · USA · NEXT
EARENDIL-1 — Demo Launch Target
18×18m mylar mirror targeting SSO at 625km. If deployed, the first operational orbital mirror since Znamya 2 — and the first commercial one. FCC approval pending. Each pass delivers under 4 minutes of supplemental illumination over a 5km footprint at brightness exceeding Venus.
SSO 625KMFCC PENDINGNEXT LAUNCH
2027–2030 · PLANNED
Phase 2 Constellation — 4,000 Mirrors by 2030
Reflect Orbital's 2030 target: 4,000 mirrors in coordinated sun-synchronous orbits delivering 20% of midday sun intensity on demand. The long-term commercial vision scales toward 50,000 satellites. Physics are severe — even at 4,000 mirrors the constellation serves only a limited number of locations simultaneously, and each mirror must achieve milliradian-precision steering at 7.6km/s.