TRACKER LAUNCH DATE ASTRONOMY SPACEX CONTROVERSY FAQ REFLECT ORBITAL
PRE-LAUNCH · NO MIRROR IN ORBIT FCC RADIO LICENCE GRANTED 9 JUL 2026 LAUNCH TARGET LATER 2026 · FALCON 9
◈ INDEPENDENT MISSION DOSSIER

EÄRENDIL-1 The first commercial space mirror

On 9 July 2026 the FCC granted a radio licence for the first commercial space mirror — while declining jurisdiction over the reflector itself. Eärendil-1 is an 18×18 m mylar reflector weighing 16 kg, folded like origami and launching on a Falcon 9 later this year to cast sunlight onto a patch of ground roughly 5 km across, after dark.

CROSS-SECTION TO SCALE — 625 km orbit against a 6,371 km Earth. The reflector is tilted to bisect incoming sunlight and the beam angled down to the dark side. Beam drawn at its true 0.53° divergence: the spot cannot be tighter than ~5.8 km at nadir, because the Sun is a disc, not a point.
EARENDIL-1 is the first commercial space mirror satellite, developed by Reflect Orbital and targeting a launch later in 2026 to Low Earth Orbit. FCC licence approved 9 July 2026. No specific launch date has been announced. This status will update when Reflect Orbital confirms a date or the FCC rules on the application.

Where Eärendil-1 actually stands

✓ FCC APPROVED Radio licence granted 9 July 2026 — the FCC declined jurisdiction over the mirror itself. What was actually approved →
LATER 2026
Launch Window
Falcon 9 secured
65%
Launch Confidence
~1,800 comments filed; AAS petition denied
0
Mirrors in Orbit
None has ever flown commercially
Why no countdown? The FCC approved the licence on 9 July 2026 — that gate is now cleared. Reflect Orbital has publicly targeted later in 2026 but hasn’t yet announced a specific launch date. We’d rather show you real status than a countdown to an invented date. The countdown activates the moment a real launch date is confirmed. Read the full launch-date analysis →
TOTAL RAISED
$35.2M
Seed (Sequoia) + $20M Series A (Lux, May 2025) + AFWERX SBIR. No round since; other trackers count $26–29M.
SERVICE REQUESTS
260K+
Company figure from the 2024 sign-up window, 157 countries — not updated since. Construction, events, defence, disaster relief.
MIRROR SPEC
18×18m
324 m² aluminised Mylar, origami-folded. 16 kg reflector on a 142 kg satellite.
SCIENTIFIC OPPOSITION
28
Societies in one joint FCC filing (ecology, entomology, geophysics, meteorology, physics). The IAU, RAS, AAVSO, CASCA, DarkSky and the Air Line Pilots Association filed separately. AAS lodged the only formal petition to deny — the FCC denied it.
EARENDIL-1 · LATER IN 2026 TARGET HISTORY SINCE 1993 ASTRONOMERS: “CATASTROPHIC” INDEPENDENT · NOT AFFILIATED

The Orbital Mirror Concept — End to End

SUN EARTH 625km 5km FOOTPRINT EÄRENDIL-1 88° POLAR · 625km · 97min ORBITALSOLAR.AI · NOT AFFILIATED WITH REFLECT ORBITAL
3.5 min
PER PASS
5km
BEAM FOOTPRINT
mag −4
PEAK BRIGHTNESS
625km
ORBIT ALTITUDE

Every Orbital Mirror — All Operators

MISSIONOPERATORYEARSIZEORBITBRIGHTNESSPURPOSESTATUS
Znamya 2RSC Energia · Russia199320m dia.LEO 400km
Mag 3–5 sky · around full moon in beam
Urban illumination demoHISTORICAL
Znamya 2.5RSC Energia · Russia199925m dia.LEO 400km
Target: 5–10× full moon in beam
Urban illumination (failed)FAILED
EARENDIL-1Reflect Orbital · USA2026 target18×18m88° polar 625km
Venus-bright overhead · Moon-bright in beam
Solar farm augmentation, demoPENDING LAUNCH
Chengdu Space MirrorCASC · China2018 proposal1km² constellationLEO 500km
8× Moon (claimed)
Street lighting replacementSHELVED
Phase 2 ConstellationReflect Orbital · USA2027–28 plan18×18m ×dozensSSO 625km
Multi-mirror stacking
Coordinated solar augmentationPLANNED
Full ConstellationReflect Orbital · USA2030 → long-term18×18m ×5,000 → 50,000SSO 625km
20% midday sun
On-demand solar power deliveryASPIRATIONAL

BRIGHTNESS NOTES: Mirrors produce two distinct brightness measurements. The first is how bright the satellite itself appears as a point of light in the sky to any observer within viewing range (stated as astronomical magnitude). The second is how bright the 5km ground footprint becomes for observers inside the beam (stated relative to the full moon). Znamya-2's satellite appeared faint (mag 3–5) as it streaked past, while the ground footprint within the beam reached approximately full-moon brightness.

UPDATED APR 2026 · SOURCE: PUBLIC FCC FILINGS, PUBLISHED RESEARCH, PRESS RECORDS

What a Mirror Pass Looks Like

EARENDIL-1 · GROUND OBSERVER EXPERIENCEBASED ON FCC FILING + REFLECT ORBITAL STATEMENTS

You'd first notice it as a fast-moving star appearing low on the horizon — similar to watching the ISS pass, but brighter. It climbs quickly across the sky over roughly 3–4 minutes, reaching peak brightness near its highest point above you.

At zenith, EARENDIL-1 is expected to appear comparable to Venus at its brightest — obvious to the naked eye, visible in twilight, and bright enough to be unmistakable. It moves visibly across the sky rather than hovering like a planet.

If you're standing within the 5km illuminated footprint on the ground, the experience is different: a soft, directional glow — described by Reflect Orbital as "moon-like" — brightens the scene around you for the duration of the pass. Independent researchers describe the in-beam brightness as comparable to a full moon at 0.1 lux.

PASS PARAMETERS · EARENDIL-1
3.5
MINUTES PER PASS
5km
BEAM FOOTPRINT
7.6km/s
GROUND TRACK SPEED
0.1 lux
IN-BEAM BRIGHTNESS
OUTSIDE THE BEAM: visible as a bright star (Venus-equivalent) moving across the sky
INSIDE THE BEAM: soft full-moon-equivalent glow, around 0.1 lux, for the pass duration
AFTER THE PASS: mirror tilts away from Earth — satellite dims or disappears
Pass predictions for your exact location → OrbitalNodes.ai · Solar mirror mode launching with EARENDIL-1 · More detail → /how-bright

The Physics, the Promise, and the Controversy

1993FIRST MIRROR LAUNCHED
3PROGRAMMES TRACKED
0CURRENTLY IN ORBIT
4K→50KREFLECT ORBITAL (2030 → LONG-TERM)
WHY THE PHYSICS ARE HARD

An 18×18m mirror is only the size of a volleyball court. From 625km altitude, achieving meaningful illumination over a 5km target requires milliradian-precision beam steering while the satellite travels at 7.6km/s. Any single pass lasts under 4 minutes.

Delivering one continuous hour of supplemental light requires approximately 15 coordinated satellites. Znamya 2 proved the concept in 1993. Znamya 2.5 showed how quickly a mirror deployment can fail. The Chengdu proposal demonstrated the public appetite — and the backlash — this technology generates regardless of which operator pursues it.

→ FULL CONTROVERSY ANALYSIS
STAKEHOLDER POSITIONS — ORBITAL MIRRORS
Qualitative positions as of April 2026, sourced from public filings, press statements, and funding rounds. We don’t invent percentages.
ASTRONOMER COMMUNITYOPPOSED
American Astronomical Society filed a formal petition to deny the FCC application (6 March 2026). 1,800+ FCC docket comments filed. DarkSky International classified EARENDIL-1 as Risk Group 3 (High Risk).
INVESTOR BACKINGCOMMITTED
$35.2M raised across Seed (Sequoia Capital, Sep 2024) and Series A (Lux Capital, May 2025). Plus US Air Force SBIR Phase II contract of $1.25M (Jun 2025). Demo mission fully funded per FCC filing.
PUBLIC DEMAND SIGNALSTRONG
260,000+ service enquiries across 157 countries by end of 2025, per Reflect Orbital. No independent survey of general public opinion exists.
DEMO-SCALE TECH VIABILITYPLAUSIBLE
March 2024 balloon demo at 3km successfully redirected sunlight to ground solar panels during twilight. Scaling to 625km orbit with milliradian beam steering remains unproven in flight.
FULL 50K CONSTELLATIONSPECULATIVE
No operator has deployed a constellation at this scale. Astronomers calculate 3,000+ mirrors needed to replicate 20% of midday sunlight at a single site. Economics and manufacturing cadence both unvalidated.
REGULATORY STATUSAPPROVED
FCC application SAT-LOA-20250701-00129 filed 1 August 2025. Public comment period closed 9 March 2026. Granted 9 July 2026 — the FCC called it “potentially groundbreaking technology” in the public interest and dismissed the constellation-based objections as this licence covers a single test satellite.

When Will the Next Mirror Launch?

EARENDIL-1
REFLECT ORBITAL · 88° NEAR-POLAR ORBIT · 625KM
The first commercial orbital mirror and the first mirror since Znamya 2.5 in 1999. An 18×18m mylar mirror targeting solar farm energy augmentation. FCC filing cited early April 2026; Wikipedia (updated Jul 2026) states mid-2026. SpaceX Falcon 9 confirmed as launch provider. The FCC granted approval on 9 July 2026; a confirmed launch date is now the only remaining gate.
LAUNCH CONFIDENCEMODERATE 65%
TARGET WINDOW
LATER
2026
FCC FILED: AUG 2025
LAUNCH VEHICLE: SPACEX FALCON 9
UPDATED: JUL 2026
NO OTHER OPERATORS have announced firm launch timelines as of April 2026. The Chengdu proposal remains shelved with no known revival. This page updates when new filings are made by any operator.

Track Mirror Passes in Real Time

Live Orbital Mirror Tracking via OrbitalNodes.AI

Once any orbital mirror launches, OrbitalNodes will be the first place to see predicted pass times, illumination windows, and beam targets — all operators, live in your browser.

◈ GO TO ORBITALNODES.AI Solar Mirrors Toggle COMING SOON
MIRROR PASSES
Pass predictions with illumination angle — all operators
PASS CARDS
Shareable cards showing your local pass window and beam target
ALERTS
Get notified 30 minutes before a mirror pass over your location

Orbital Mirror Coverage — All Sources

VIA SATELLITE
FCC Approves Reflect Orbital Demo Satellite to Test Redirecting Sunlight
The FCC granted approval for EARENDIL-1 on 9 July 2026 (docket SAT-LOA-20250701-00129), calling it “potentially groundbreaking technology” in the public interest. Nearly 2,000 comments were filed; the FCC dismissed constellation-based objections as the licence covers a single test satellite. Launch expected later in 2026.
MILESTONE · JUL 2026
JUL 2026
ASTROBITES
FCC Under Pressure: Reflect Orbital and AI Satellite Proposals Trigger Astronomy Community Alert
FCC public comment period closed March 2026. DarkSky International published a step-by-step guide for submitting objections — open to non-US citizens. Astrobites analysis notes EARENDIL-1 could appear as bright as a full Moon within the beam footprint.
CRITICAL · FEB 2026
FEB 2026
SPACE.COM
4,000 Giant Space Mirrors Plan Has Scientists Alarmed
Reflect Orbital's FCC application describes EARENDIL-1: an 18×18m mirror in an 88° near-polar orbit. Each illumination footprint spans 5km and lasts under 4 minutes. Astronomers warn of "catastrophic" consequences for observation.
CRITICAL
OCT 2025
SCI. AMERICAN
Alarm Grows Over Proposed Giant Mirrors in Orbit
Backed by Sequoia and Baiju Bhatt, Reflect Orbital sells "unforgettable sunlit evenings" to entertainment venues alongside solar energy contracts. The IAU and dark-sky advocacy groups have filed formal objections with the FCC.
SKEPTICAL
NOV 2025
LIVE SCIENCE
"Catastrophic and Horrifying" — Astronomers Warn on Space Mirror Plans
Runaway tumbling risk cited — NASA's solar sail spun uncontrollably in 2024. The Znamya 2 precedent (1993 success, 1999 failure) shows how quickly deployment can fail. A single uncontrolled mirror could flash brighter than the Moon over vast areas.
STRONGLY CRITICAL
OCT 2025
SMITHSONIAN
Giant Mirrors Could Bring Sunlight After Dark — Astronomers Concerned
Balanced coverage of the concept's claimed benefits — solar augmentation, SAD treatment, search and rescue, military illumination — alongside substantive expert concerns about light pollution and ecosystem disruption.
BALANCED
DEC 2025

The Complete Timeline of Orbital Mirrors

1993 · RUSSIA
Znamya 2 — First Success
RSC Energia's Progress M-15 spacecraft deployed a 20m mylar mirror from the Mir space station. It created a brief 5km-wide spot of light sweeping across Europe — the first proof that orbital illumination was physically possible. At magnitude 5, it was barely visible to the naked eye: a faint, fast-moving point of light, not a dramatic flash. The mirror itself was the achievement; the brightness was modest.
RSC ENERGIAMIR STATIONSUCCESS
1999 · RUSSIA
Znamya 2.5 — Deployment Failure
A larger 25m mirror launched with ambitions to illuminate Russian cities through polar winter. The mirror snagged on an antenna during deployment, failed to fully unfurl, and the mission was abandoned. The Znamya programme was cancelled. No further Russian orbital mirror attempts followed.
DEPLOYMENT FAILUREPROGRAMME ENDED
2018 · CHINA
Chengdu "Artificial Moon" Proposal
Chengdu Aerospace Science announced plans for a constellation of mirrors to replace street lighting across Chengdu — claiming 8× Moon brightness and 1.2 billion yuan in annual savings. Generated global media coverage and immediate astronomer backlash. The project was quietly shelved; no satellites were built.
CHINASHELVEDURBAN LIGHTING
2021–2025 · USA
Reflect Orbital — Founded & Funded
Reflect Orbital founded October 2021 by Ben Nowack (ex-SpaceX) and Tristan Semmelhack (ex-Zipline). Raised $6.5M seed in September 2024 (led by Sequoia), then $20M Series A in May 2025 (led by Lux Capital with Sequoia participating), plus $1.25M US Air Force SBIR Phase II contract in June 2025 — total funding $35.2M as of 2026. Filed FCC application in August 2025. Two proof-of-concept missions planned for 2026. SpaceX Falcon 9 confirmed as launch provider.
FOUNDED 2021$35M TOTAL FUNDINGUSAF CONTRACT
LATER IN 2026 · USA · NEXT
EARENDIL-1 — Demo Launch Target
18×18m mylar mirror targeting an 88° near-polar orbit at 625km. If deployed, the first operational orbital mirror since Znamya 2 — and the first commercial one. FCC approved 9 July 2026. Each pass delivers under 4 minutes of supplemental illumination over a 5km footprint at brightness exceeding Venus.
88° POLAR 625KMFCC APPROVEDNEXT LAUNCH
2027–2030 · PLANNED
Phase 2 Constellation — 5,000+ Mirrors by 2030
Reflect Orbital's published 2030 target: 5,000+ mirrors in coordinated sun-synchronous orbits delivering 20% of midday sun intensity on demand. The long-term commercial vision scales toward 50,000 satellites. Physics are severe — even at 5,000 mirrors the constellation serves only a limited number of locations simultaneously, and each mirror must achieve milliradian-precision steering at 7.6km/s.
5,000+ BY 203050,000 LONG-TERM20% MIDDAY SUN
→ FULL HISTORY PAGE WITH PRIMARY SOURCES

Pass Predictions by City

Local pass prediction pages launch once any orbital mirror achieves orbit. Pages are pre-built for major cities and ready to populate with live data.

CITE THIS PAGE
OrbitalSolar.ai. “EARENDIL-1 Space Mirror”. https://orbitalsolar.ai
Released under CC BY 4.0 — quote, republish or build on this material with credit to OrbitalSolar.ai.